Securing day two draft investment, David Bell keeps hope alive for the wishful comparisons to Keenan Allen and Jarvis Landry as productive wideouts with bottom-rung measurables while avoiding what happened to Tylan Wallace and Tyler Johnson the previous two seasons. Get instant advice on your decision to draft Treylon Burks or Nico Collins in 2022. to open his rookie season. These wideouts are a lesser version of Tier 13, but all our in the same mold that they will be on rosters, get second and third contracts in the league, and can run into extended playing time through situation or injuries. Thomas had at least five receptions in 10 of those 12 weeks with eight or more grabs in eight games. This next tier is older than the previous tier but has also given us a larger sample of production to latch onto. Hopkins missed seven games in 2021 and while on the field, he averaged 4.2 receptions and 57.2 yards per game, by far his lowest totals per game since 2016. Robert Woods (30.4) Toney was pressed into action due to injuries in Week 4, where he caught 6-of-7 targets for 78 yards, forcing five missed tackles. Dez Fitzpatrick (24.7) CeeDee Lamb has caught a lot of flack this offseason in fantasy circles due to the close of his second season in which he caught 32 passes for 376 yards and zero touchdowns over the final seven games in the regular season. Fantasy Impact Collins has been dealing with a lingering foot injury over the past couple of weeks, and the. Godwin tore his ACL back on December 19th, placing his early-season availability in jeopardy. Tyler Lockett (29.9) Shepard could be a candidate to be released and have a new home this offseason as he can save the Giants $4.5 million if released before June, and $8.5 million as a post-June 1 cut while the Giants will want to expand Kadarius Toneys role and are locked into Kenny Golladay. The silver lining is that he still received 110 targets (28th) and the Panthers gave him a contract extension before the season that has him still set up to be the WR2 in Carolina, but a major addition at quarterback is still required. The positive spin is Golladay averaged 9.1 yards per target from Daniel Jones compared to 4.3 yards per target from the vagabonds they played when Jones was absent. Heading to Green Bay, Chrisitan Watson checks a lot of boxes in terms of size, athleticism, strong quarterback play, and opportunity, all things he needs to overcome an unflattering list of recent non-early-declare, non-Power 5 wideouts selected in the second round. The 2021 season was an outright disaster for. Allen turns 30 this April, but he has a play style that will keep him viable with attachment to Justin Herbert for the final stretch of his apex. Tim Patrick (28.8) The Giants have no choice contractually to go back to Golladay as a passing game asset and there is nowhere to go but up from last year in terms of quarterback play and offensive climate. Julio Jones still averaged 14.0 yards per catch, 9.0 yards per target, and was 25th in yards per route run (1.84), so he can still play. See more. These are the wideouts you envision having the best odds of becoming players like the tier above when they reach that stage of their careers while carrying plenty of immediate upside. DeVonta Smith accounted for 43.5% of the Philadelphia wide receiver targets (sixth at his position), something surely to come down with the addition of a target-earner in A.J. If you are new to how I do tiers, I make my dynasty tiers based on a blend of age, fantasy performance, career arc, team situation, and fantasy archetype. Darnell Mooney (24.8) The Texans failed to acquire a quarterback upgrade from Mills, leaving him as their unquestioned 2022 starter. Elijah Moore fought through an injury-filled rookie campaign in which he missed six games, but there were some flashpoints where we saw the ceiling potential for Moore. Garrett Wilson (22.1) Much harder to rationalize his poor college production than Collins' because at least Collins was much more efficient (higher YPR/catch rate/TDs) than Palmer for the most part. He also saw four or more targets in nine of the Texans' final 10 games of the season. Although their draft profiles still paint them as having an uphill battle big picture, there has been some flashes along the way that have them as intriguing players still in many circles, especially at their current cost. After 11 trips to the paint in 2020, Claypool scored just two times last season. Boats and Throws traded: WR Nico Collins, HOU. Nico Collins, Houston Texans. as he set career-highs in targets (129), receptions (76), and yardage (1,146) to go along with nine touchdowns. I believe Collins is set up for fantasy success in years to come and dynasty players should be heavily interested in acquiring. His attachment to Patrick Mahomes and this offense will afford him much more space in the middle of the field, giving him more than enough enticement once again as an upside fantasy option on the WR3/WR4 line. There also could be tier movement for some players here based on how free agency and the draft plays out, so check back in as news develops this offseason. Analysis: Collins will miss the remainder of the season. The Chiefs also have been looking for a third wheel in the offense behind Travis Kelce and Tyreek Hill. Jarvis Landry (29.8) Justin Jefferson followed up an 88-1,400-7 rookie season in which he was the WR9 in points per game (17.1) to post 108-1,616-10 this past season as the WR4 in points per game (19.4). Cooper Kupp (29.2) Chark when the team forced him to play outside, but then was clearly outplayed by Laquon Treadwell to close the season when he went back inside. Nearly all of these veterans are attached to strong offensive climates and above average quarterback play. DeVonta Smith (23.8) Tee Higgins also improved across the board in his second season, raising his yards per catch (14.7 yards), receptions (5.3) and yards (77.9) per game, catch rate (67.3%), and yards per target (9.9 yards) all from his rookie season. If you are not in a full-PPR league, you can prioritize this archetype over the previous group while this group has more options that can get by on inefficiency and spike touchdown seasons. In a startup, I am more inclined to shop in this tier than the one above, but the previous tier carries more instant probability in contributing to winning titles as solo contributors. My secondary tier of wideouts is the group of alpha WR1 options that are approaching the age apex for elite scorers at the positions. Nico Collins or Isaiah McKenzie | Who Should I Draft? 32.6% of his PPR points came via touchdown production alone, the highest rate in his career and just the second time he has been over 20%. document.getElementById( "ak_js_1" ).setAttribute( "value", ( new Date() ).getTime() ); This field is for validation purposes and should be left unchanged. All of that resulted in a tailspin that ended with 38 catches for 410 yards and one touchdown over 12 games. Jerry Jeudy (23.4). Michael Gallup is the perfect buy low right now . His college production is even worse than Collins - including a 50% catch rate or worse in 3 of 4 seasons. The downside is he has scored just three touchdowns total in those games and has never been strong at creating his own touchdowns on raw athleticism. Johnson has amassed a gaudy 313 targets over the past two seasons. Marquez Callaway (24.4). did not take the step many had hoped in Year 2, especially not after the Steelers lost JuJu-Smith Schuster so early in the season. Even if Odell Beckham returns, he will also be coming off a major injury. DeVante Parker fought through another injury-filled season, catching 40 passes for 515 yards and two touchdowns. He has done so with a plethora of quarterbacks over his career now, including showing a connection with rookie Davis Mills last year. If both do return, then Jefferson likely gets squeezed in-season. received 120 targets last year (23rd), but how static will that remain since he was not brought in by this regime? Jaylen Waddle set a new record for receptions in a season (104) by a rookie while being asked to operate as a near the line of scrimmage asset due to the position the Miami offense was forced into due to their offensive line and surrounding playmakers. this offseason and what to do with him. Godwin will get another season with Tom Brady, but will also be coming off an ACL injury that ended his season in mid-December, pushing his recovery up against the start of the 2022 season. just continues to get there every season. Fuller was only able to land a one-year deal last offseason coming off his best NFL season, so we are likely looking at a prove-it situation in free agency this season. I am more on the pro-side of the coin for Gabriel Davis, who is going to be a hot button this offseason. WR Nico Collins (HOU) Savvy dynasty players will already know to target Nico Collins but for some, Collins will likely be available or able to be acquired via trade. Denver locked up Sutton with an extension before he could free agency, while getting attachment to a quarterback finally willing to push the downfield can give Sutton a runway similar to Mike Williams a year ago. Business Unit Manager - Advanced Structures. Brown (25.2) Pittman has alpha qualities with a physical archetype, but he also plays in a run-first climate and was the only pass catcher on his roster a year ago that warranted any consideration. Gabriel Davis (23.4) Even removing his postseason performance this year, Davis was a top-30 scoring receiver in three of the final five weeks this regular season. From one player limited by quarterback play to another, Terry McLaurin was once again held back from accessing his full fantasy potential, posting 77-1,053-5 in his third season. There will surely be a lot of conversation around DeAndre Hopkins this offseason and what to do with him. It finally looked as if we were going to have our D.J. Green also gave us some spark in 2021, averaging 15.7 yards per catch and 9.2 yards per target with the Cardinals while giving us nine top-40 scoring weeks. Bryan Edwards (23.8) Van Jefferson (26.1) Palmer still will hold value playing as the WR3 attached to Justin Herbert even with Williams returning, but the immediate upside is tied in his role extending, leaving him as a bench option. We offer recommendations from over 100 fantasy football experts! Meyers accounted for 23.6% of the Patriot targets, something that will be put in jeopardy if they ever add a significant playmaker for Mac Jones. Diggs also managed a career-high 10 touchdowns while averaging 9.7 targets per game (seventh). Nico Collins Advanced Stats & Metrics. Michael Pittman more than doubled his rookie season production in 2021, catching 88-of-129 targets for 1,082 yards and six touchdowns. Brown was able to average a career-high 8.1 targets per game, but that still forced efficiency more than his WR1 peers as it ranked 16th at the position. Parker still commanded a respectable 7.3 targets per game (30th) to provide a floor when on the field, a total he can hit moving to New England. Palmer has good size but is a non-athlete. D.J. will be a talking point this offseason for anticipated regression coming off scoring the second-most points per game (25.9) for a wide receiver in league history, but even with recoil, he is in a strong position to sustain being a top-end fantasy option. From a silver lining stance, Cooper still tied for the team-lead with eight touchdown receptions. Dominate your draft with the 2023 Ultimate Draft Kit Nico Collins HOU WR #12 HT/WT 6' 4", 215 lbs Age 23.8 Drafted Rd 3 (#89) - 2021 College Michigan Experience 2 years 2023 Draft Ranking Draft rankings are in progress. Shepard could be a candidate to be released and have a new home this offseason as he can save the Giants $4.5 million if released before June, and $8.5 million as a post-June 1 cut while the Giants will want to expand Kadarius Toneys role and are locked into Kenny Golladay. He found a home with the Titans for a sixth round pick, coming off the heels of Tennessee releasing Julio Jones last week. It is worth noting how touchdown-heavy Evans has been during the Tom Brady years. But the upside remains intact with the addition of Russell Wilson to recapture his offseason value from last year. Check out the latest news below for more on his current fantasy value. Making him the perfect dynasty stash target. If both do return, then Jefferson likely gets squeezed in-season. After averaging 5.9 receptions for 68.5 yards per game in 2020, Anderson averaged 3.1 catches for 30.5 yards per game last season. Godwin will get another season with Tom Brady, but will also be coming off an ACL injury that ended his season in mid-December, pushing his recovery up against the start of the 2022 season. felt the sting of no longer being in contention for the top receiver on his team in 2021, clearly falling behind both JaMarr Chase and Tee Higgins as an ancillary option in the passing game. Jalen Tolbert (23.5) took a step back in 2021, seeing his yards per catch and target, catch rate, receptions, yardage, and touchdowns all drop from his rookie season. Dynasty (TV Series 2017-2022) cast and crew credits, including actors, actresses, directors, writers and more. Chase Claypool and Gunner Olszewski are the only current wideouts signed in Pittsburgh beyond 2022 while the team has no tangible competition out of the box for Pickens to earn snaps in 3WR sets. Claypools lack of jump was not entirely Roethlisberger related, which is what makes him an intriguing case moving forward. Father Time comes for us all and these wideouts have given us a lot to be grateful for, but they are also on the final legs of their careers. Improvement from Zach Wilson can lift the tide for Davis, who has been the WR32 and WR36 the past two seasons on a per-game basis, but the emergence of Elijah Moore is another potential roadblock in getting to Davis as a consistent fantasy play. The Browns have an immediate opening for Bell to play as a big slot right away while getting attachment to Deshaun Watson big picture. Chark when the team forced him to play outside, but then was clearly outplayed by Laquon Treadwell to close the season when he went back inside. Coming off a foot injury that he sustained in Week 13, he is coming into the 2023 season with a new quarterback and a lack of competition in the wide receiver room. Jeudy opened the year catching six passes or 72 yards on just 31 snaps as we appeared to be off to the races, but he suffered a brutal ankle injury that sidelined him the next six weeks. He had a groin injury in training camp that stunted the start of his season and limited him to just 84 offensive snaps all season. Laquon Treadwell (27.2) He finished as the WR29 in points per game (13.5), his lowest rate since 2017. DWayne Eskridge (25.4) Ashton Dulin (25.3) You can tell yourself the story you want to hear on all of these wideouts, which is why you will see nearly all of them be selected over the previous tier, but they also have a wider range of outcomes overall, also carrying low floor potential. Samuel was fifth in the NFL in receiving yards despite ranking 54th in routes run and 26th in targets. Speaking of undervalued, Mike Evans just continues to get there every season. No wide receiver has had a season like the one. While some of the overall volume of targets can be credited to the limitations of the Pittsburgh offense and late-career Ben Roethlisberger, do not let that cloud the fact that Johnson is one of the leagues best wide receivers at getting open on his own merit as well. Peoples-Jones has now averaged a robust 18.8 yards per catch on an average depth of target of 16.7 yards downfield. I am more than skeptical on Moores ceiling from a fantasy stance, but Moore still carries plenty of pedigree and raft capital to have increased usage in year two and find his way as a full-PPR contributor. The top-tier of this 2022 rookie class. McLaurin still has a lot of meat left on the bone, but he is older than most players heading into their fourth season and Washington still has a gaping question mark under center to correct before they end up squandering the upside McLaurin has through his apex years. John Hesterman J. Hesterman Dynasty League . There is plenty of room for nuance based on whether you are drafting a team from scratch versus an established roster that should also be taken into consideration as another layer here in application to your own rosters. Nelson Agholor (29.3). Tutu Atwell (22.9) Romeo Doubs (22.4) Boyds 5.9 targets per game were his lowest since 2017 while his receiving yardage per game has declined from the previous season in each of the past three seasons. Quarterbacks, running backs, and tight ends can be found in those links while full overall dynasty rankings can be found here. 2021 was no shortage of a nightmare for the Jacksonville offense as a whole while Shenault still accrued 100 targets, but he will now be on his third coaching staff in three years while the team is a strong bet to keep adding playmakers. Kadarius Toney had the most Kadarius Toney rookie season we could have gotten based on his collegiate profile. Rashod Bateman (22.8) We do not officially know who the quarterback will be, but with Pete Carmichael staying as offensive coordinator, Thomas still has a play-caller that understands where he excels. There is plenty of name recognition here, but the truthers for the individual players in this tier have been severely tested to start. Adam Thielen (32.0) St. Brown caught eight or more passes in all six games, just the ninth player in league history to have such a streak. Just 47.4% of his targets were deemed catchable in his small sample of 2021 after 63.0% in 2020 (113th among wideouts with 25 or more targets) and 65.8% in 2019 (81st). Gage led the Falcons with 2.84 yards per route run against man coverage in 2021 per Pro Football Focus, a mark that was 11th in the league this past season. Calvin Austin (23.5). Only four players have caught more receiving touchdowns than DK Metcalfs 29 since he entered the league and only three caught more than his 12 scores in 2021, but Metcalf saw a significant dip in other areas last season, dropping from 5.2 receptions per game down to 4.4 while his 81.4 yards per game in 2020 sagged down to 56.9 yards per game last season. also had a lost season in 2021, playing just 65 snaps, due to a finger injury that was still an issue earlier this month. Dynasty Outlook Collins is a mid to late third-rounder in rookie only drafts and is going in the 17th round of startups. Toney was only able to appear in 10 games due to various injuries and managed more than 40 yards in just two games, but in the small sample of him receiving playing time while healthy, he jumped off the screen at his best. By the time Ridley can play again, he will still have some meat left on the bone for his career, but will also be a soon-to-be 29-year old player with just one season reaching 900 yards that averaged 9.1 yards per catch and 5.4 yards per target when he last played. Byron Pringle (28.8) While some of the overall volume of targets can be credited to the limitations of the Pittsburgh offense and late-career Ben Roethlisberger, do not let that cloud the fact that Johnson is one of the leagues best wide receivers at getting open on his own merit as well. There wasn't much to be excited about with Nico Collins in the 2022 season after finishing it prematurely with 481 yards and 2 touchdowns. As Mills matures, Collins could rightfully explode. Brown teased us once again with the upside he holds in 2021. averaged a career-low 10.8 yards per catch, but he remained one of the best touchdown-or-bust fantasy options, scoring 10 times over 13 games before an ankle injury cut his season short. Kelce and Hill are still the players that dominate action in this offense. Not everything went poorly for the Bears last season as Darnell Mooney was one of the bright spots. Nico Collins secured 33-of-60 targets ranked eighth among rookie wideouts in targets (60) and fifth in yards per target (7.4). My 2022 season prediction for Collins: 68 receptions. Courtland Sutton flashed early last season with three WR1 scoring weeks over the opening six games, but things bottomed quickly after that. If the Texans get another quarterback, the same explosion can occur. He has done so with a plethora of quarterbacks over his career now, including showing a connection with rookie Davis Mills last year. As we begin to lay the foundation for the 2022 offseason, here we are going to lay out Dynasty positional tiers with a synopsis of those tiers. also improved across the board in his second season, raising his yards per catch (14.7 yards), receptions (5.3) and yards (77.9) per game, catch rate (67.3%), and yards per target (9.9 yards) all from his rookie season. Prior to a season-ending injury after nine games played, Corey Davis was averaging 3.8 catches for 54.7 yards per game. After receiving over 25% of the Buffalo targets in each of his first two seasons with the Bills, Diggs is a strong bet to once again be peppered with opportunity in 2022 attached to Josh Allen. Higgins is the first wide receiver here that is clearly not the best wide receiver on his own team, but after Higgins returned from injury in Week 5, he posted an 82-1,282-6 line on 125 targets over his final 16 games played with JaMarr Chase while Chase notched 87-1,500-10 on 134 targets. The Colts will surely make additions to the passing game this season while still primarily running the offense through Jonathan Taylor to compromise a year-three target spike. We have been chasing the opportunity for Michael Gallup to develop as a 1B type of a wideout but are once again stunted in that development after he played in just nine games in 2021, while suffering a torn ACL in early January as he hits free agency. Waddle turned those receptions into a modest 1,015 yards (9.8 yards per catch) with an average depth of target of 7.0 yards, managing just 12 targets all season 20 or further yards downfield. From one player limited by quarterback play to another. 2023 R1 draft pick, 2023 R2 draft pick, 2023 R3 draft pick. Amari Rodgers (22.9) George Pickens was the 11th wide receiver selected in the draft, but he falls into the most successful franchise in grooming receiving prospects. There is still a lot of unknown surrounding Calvin Ridley after he left the Falcons after appearing in five games this past season due to mental health issues and potentially not wanting to be a part of the team in the first place while he been suspended for the entire 2022 season due to gambling on games while away from the team. A veteran starter that can accrue points immediately based on where a current roster is and other times chasing more youth and upside for the future. 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