One of the biggest draft-day winners was Trey Sermon, who ended up going to San Francisco in Round 3. McBride will need to be talented to make an impact, but his prospect profile suggests that he is. In the image at the bottom of this article I have a versus ADP column that compares my overall ranks to this ADP. If there's one first-round wide receiver who I'd point to having the most fantasy football bust potential, it's Toney. Nevertheless, he's a 98th percentile prospect in my model, and it wouldn't feel right to make him anything but the second-best wideout in this class. The draft guide is awesome and offers a lot more than just semi personalized rankings. JJ Zachariason: East Coast Dad. Draft War Room. Copyright 2006-2022 Fantasy Sports Enterprises, LLC. The Anthony Schwartz pick by Cleveland seemed to be one that was a better real football move than fantasy one. Dont forget to download the Rotoworld app to receive real-time player news, mobile alerts and track your favorite players. When you get to this point in your rookie draft -- especially this year's rookie draft -- you're looking for some sort of story you can tell about a player that shows that he has upside. Unsurprisingly, the Jets took Zach Wilson with the second overall pick in last week's draft. At all. The PDF is 165 pages. The game is filled with variance -- unpredictable things happen all the time. That's not ideal. Pat Kerrane is the co-host of Ship Chasing, an avid high stakes player and a full blown "dynasty guy." Pre-Draft Overall Rank: 11Pre-Draft Positional Rank: 7Post-Draft Positional Rank: 7Tier: 4. Tight End. in 2022 -- he's a free agent, and the Dolphins going after Long could signal that they may be ready to move on. Want more info about DLF Premium? Cole Kmet was the Bears leading target-getter with 69 last year, followed by Darnell Mooneys 61, Dante Pettis with 41, and Equanimeous St. Brown wasnt far behind with 38 targets. You also gain access to the best dynasty fantasy football resources in the industry. That's what we've got with Elijah Mitchell. That's due to the fact that he ranked in the top-eight in all three production-related categories in the model among the 50 wide receivers who were invited to the combine. Smith's not a flawless prospect analytically. I like that his opinions and takes are mostly data driven which has helped scratch my nerdy fantasy itch. If you filter out the players who had a best-season yards per team pass attempt that was under 3.0, seven players remain: Corey Davis, Amari Cooper, Sammy Watkins, Mike Evans, Justin Blackmon, Julio Jones, and Calvin Johnson. He should be able to capture receiving work right away, and since the New York running back room is lacking, he could see a good chunk of early-down work, too. You can support pahowdy belowif you, like: Youtube: youtube.com/c/PeterHowardPahowdy. PointsBet is our Official Sports Betting Partner and we may receive compensation if you place a bet on PointsBet for the first time after clicking our links. GIF. But we can't deny the immediate impact St. Brown can make, especially if he's able to capture the main slot role. Smith was a top-10 pick, and even though we've seen top-10 busts in the past, a lot of them were objectively avoidable. There are four wide receivers who could easily be placed in this eighth overall spot -- I'm just opting to put, The main reason I'm high on Marshall -- and likely higher than the consensus -- is because he's one of the only earlier-round wide receivers who checks nearly every alpha wide receiver box. Pre-Draft Overall Rank: 23Pre-Draft Positional Rank: 4Post-Draft Positional Rank: 2Tier: 6. But what does that really mean within the context of this era of fantasy football? But given their depth at wide receiver, it would be odd for the Broncos to use a lot of 2TE sets. And the air horns. Created Jul 30, 2012. Smith's best-season yards per team pass attempt rate -- the most predictive production-related metric in my model -- was 4.37. PGA DFS & Daily Fantasy Golf Advice. For advertising inquiries: [emailprotected], 2023 LateRound.com, Late-Round Media LLC, All Rights Reserved, home,page-template,page-template-full_width,page-template-full_width-php,page,page-id-258,bridge-core-3.0.1,qode-page-transition-enabled,ajax_fade,page_not_loaded,,qode-title-hidden,qode_grid_1300,qode-theme-ver-28.6,qode-theme-bridge,disabled_footer_top,disabled_footer_bottom,wpb-js-composer js-comp-ver-6.10.0,vc_responsive, I am an industry expert with 10 years of experience, Dynasty and season-long rankings and tiers (1QB and superflex), In-depth running back and wide receiver prospect profiles (, Statistical comparables for every relevant prospect, Profiles for Year 2 Model running backs and wide receivers (. You can also get a DLF Premium Membership for FREE! $10 / month. . If you recall, Brown fell in rookie drafts because he landed in Tennessee, a team that was one of the most run-heavy in football. Still, it's best to keep the cost low when betting on a career college committee back. Another player Im not buying is George Pickens. Jalen Hurts has two seasons within the top 25 as well, and hes finished as the QB6 and QB1. The problem I have with this logic is that we can't assume Lamar Jackson makes the historic passing efficiency leap that Josh Allen made, and we can't assume Rashod Bateman is as impactful of a player as Stefon Diggs is, even if we love Bateman. is incredible. Where does Skyy Moore rank for rookie draft purposes now that he's a Kansas City Chief? was my pre-draft comparison -- that's what we're working with when it comes to Elijah Moore. There is some worry about athleticism with Long, though, and that could really limit his fantasy football upside. A behind the scene look at ranking methodology and individual rankings vs the consensus. His guide is mostly helpful for building your own opinions about which types of players to target and when. February 27, 2023. JJ is the founder of LateRoundQB.com and author of The Late Round Quarterback. To me, the Falcons don't make Pitts the fourth-overall selection to have him stay at the line blocking like the typical tight end. Lance has that, and he probably has that more than any other signal-caller in this class. Team philosophies aren't static. His production profile wasn't very complete given the journey he went on in college, where he transferred to Oklahoma after playing at a Junior college, and then he was suspended for part of his final season. They waited on the position and got Amon-Ra St. Brown in the fourth with the 112th pick. I bought it. That's a good sign, as noted earlier, for his potential right away. Weather info Powered by Dark Sky. February 27, 2023. Dynasty Crossroads Episode 258 - JJ Zachariason. Brown-less Titans are eliminated from playoff contention in either of the next two seasons, are we really not seeing Malik Willis? Really, I'd have no problem if you took Moore as the WR4 in this class -- he has plenty of potential, especially in this Arizona Cardinals offense. Pre-Draft Overall Rank: N/APre-Draft Positional Rank: N/APost-Draft Positional Rank: 17Tier: 11. Couldn't be me. No guarantees are made for any specific outcome. Why This Is Bold: Both Tyler Higbee and Dallas Goedert are being picked up in the middle rounds of drafts, inside the top-12 at the position. That's a recipe for disaster. There've only been six players in the model -- which dates back to 2006 -- with that high of a prospect score: Amari Cooper, Sammy Watkins, Mike Evans, Julio Jones, Demaryius Thomas, and Calvin Johnson. 2023 is the type of draft class you want to make those bets on. JJ Zachariason-- editor-in-chief at FanDuel and numberFire and host of The Late-Round Podcast-- joins us to talk Stefon Diggs, Keenan Allen and, of course, QBs. There are multiple wide receivers from last years class on this list including Skyy Moore, Alec Pierce, Romeo Doubs, and WanDale Robinson. If we knew Deshaun Watson would be the quarterback, Collins would be more in the Amon-Ra St. Brown tier -- he'd likely be ahead of St. Brown. Many have pointed to the 2020 Bills as the perfect example of a run-heavy team moving to become a pass-heavy one. The 2022 rookie wide receiver was sublime. . There's also a Discord for this tier, where members talk all things fantasy football. Waddle doesn't look nearly as good within my wide receiver model. We shouldn't expect a whole lot from Pat Freiermuth as an NFL rookie. The amount of information he provides is insane. Williams broke the Pro Football Focus record in broken tackles per attempt last year, and he has good pass-catching ability, as well. In Baltimore as the fourth option at best? The landing spot was big for Moore, at least. In the slot as a Freshman and Sophomore, though, St. Brown competed production-wise with teammate Michael Pittman Jr., and that helped give him a high-end breakout age. If you're an avid listener over the last couple of years, you're not going to find a ton of new information. there's no shame in panic-picking Isaiah Likely. I definitely am learning how to properly approach what's free content and what's not, and how to strike the right balance. Pre-Draft Overall Rank: N/APre-Draft Positional Rank: N/APost-Draft Positional Rank: 5Tier: 9. It's possible a new coaching staff eventually expands Walker's usage. It'll probably take him some time to develop, but if he does, he has some upside. would be the team's 1-2 punch, seemingly on early downs. Get it here! Let's look at the positives. I don't see it as, But, again, I'm wrong all the time. There've been comparisons between Bateman and what happened with A.J. Melvin Gordon, at the very latest, will be gone next season when he becomes a free agent. . He's a do-it-all back. Dynasty rookie drafts may be over, but our 2021 rookie guide is still a definite asset when preparing you for your 2021 season-long fantasy football drafts. It's just that he's towards the bottom of that tier now as opposed to being close to the top. He just wasn't overly productive, and it's tough to get super excited about landing with arguably the worst run organization in sports. By a lot. DeVonta Smith is a post-draft riser for a couple of reasons. He had the second-highest best-season reception share in this class, and he played ahead of Antonio Gibson at Memphis. My model likes D'Wayne Eskridge more than I do, and that's creating some issues with where to rank him. It'd be completely asinine to spend a luxury pick on a running back who'd only play passing downs, and this is likely just a classic instance of coach speak. If St. Brown can grab hold of the slot role, perhaps we'll see him be Jared Goff's new Cooper Kupp. As I noted in my pre-draft rankings, one of my favorite stats about Fields came from numberFire's own Jim Sannes: 87.6% of Justin Fields' attempts last season came against top-50 defenses according to Bill Connelly's SP+ method. Here is an updated set of dynasty and keeper rankings for those of you in those kinds of leagues: An overall top 240. Like it or not, the running back position is THE most-important position in fantasy. Historically, running backs who've been traded up for in the draft have produced better than their counterparts. The Chiefs no longer have Sammy Watkins, and the number-two wide receiver role is up for grabs. JJ Zachariason has the perfect Skyy Moore comp, and I'm mad I didn't think of it. In Baltimore as the fourth option, Hubbard landed on a team that'll use him as nothing more than a change-of-pace backup. and our Those are both impressive marks. Dulcich's downfield ability will make him well worth the risk if he hits. See Fantasy Football Week 10 Half PPR rankings for RosterWatch Staff Rankings and JJ Zachariason compared with each other to find the best sleepers and avoid the busts. . Like I said: teams change. Pre-Draft Overall Rank: 8Pre-Draft Positional Rank: 4Post-Draft Positional Rank: 2Tier: 3. Fields isnt going to suddenly lose his rushing ability, but if hes given even just one top-tier receiving option (see Josh Allen/Stefon Diggs), he may be able to pull the reins in a bit on the rushing while making up for the difference with his passing. Pre-Draft Overall Rank: 25Pre-Draft Positional Rank: 13Post-Draft Positional Rank: 13Tier: 7. There are just enough flags to make me not want to reach for him in rookie drafts. (Im still holding out some hope for Elijah Moore.). Correct me if I'm wrong but I'm pretty sure JJ coined the term "running back deadzone" which is now used by pretty much every other analyst in the industry. Pre-Draft Overall Rank: 5Pre-Draft Positional Rank: 1Post-Draft Positional Rank: 1Tier: 2. Robert Woods will have a role on the Titans once healthy, as will Kyle Pitts on the Falcons, but both Burks and London have a very low bar to clear for rookie production. Had he landed in a better situation, it would be an easier sell. In a running back class that lacked size, Rhamondre Stevenson really stood out at 6'0'', 230 pounds. Instead of just drafting from a list of players and crossing your fingers with the hopes that th If you don't believe in purchasing fantasy content (to me a weird take), don't buy it. The award-winning Late-Round Fantasy Football Podcast is a fantasy football show that helps you win through bite-sized, analytically-driven episodes. We open up the DLF Mailbag to answer your questions. But during that final campaign, in games active, Stevenson compiled an impressive 15% reception share and 22% total touchdown share. I just can't shake the fact that Atwell weighed in at 155 pounds at his Pro Day. Privacy Policy. Instead of buying low on a player like Burks, Id rather conserve those assets and buy high on another player. He ran a sub-4.4 40 time at his Pro Day. Post-Draft Positional Rank: 1. Atwell is the absolute smallest wide receiver in my database. The biggest faller from these pre- to post-draft rankings is Tylan Wallace. To get the full benefits of numberFire, please log in. Brown. This was our first Dynasty Superflex startup since the 2021 NFL Draft, and we did it right, going 22 rounds deep. Share on Facebook Share on Twitter Dynasty, Rookie & Superflex ADP The Ravens run the football efficiently. Jalen Tolbert is a big play waiting to happen on every target. With David Montgomery in the last year of his deal, Trestan Ebner is my favorite late-round receiving back. Be notified about upcoming drafts, enhancements, free projections, Apex strategy articles, and a chance to win a free entry to a $125 fantasy league! Javonte Williams landed in Denver after the Broncos traded up to get him, and while it may not seem like a great landing spot, it's really not so bad. Press question mark to learn the rest of the keyboard shortcuts, JJ Zachariason, Late-Round Fantasy Football. Pre-Draft Overall Rank: N/APre-Draft Positional Rank: N/APost-Draft Positional Rank: 9Tier: 10. 2009-2023 numberFire, Inc. Certain headlines thanks to Rotoworld. The DLF Dynasty Podcast #557 . And there are some values out there; I've seen Desmond Ridder go ahead of him. Looking to play Best Ball on Underdog? Moore landed with the Jets, and some may view that as a bad spot to go. The most wide open wide receiver depth chart in the NFL is in Detroit. Nothing makes Shane happier than thinking about dynasty fantasy football, except for talking about it or maybe writing about it. For a little background, I've been a fantasy football analyst for about 10 years now, getting my start after I published an e-book titled "The Late-Round Quarterback" back in 2012. But it's not like we have a big sample of Meyer as a coach in the NFL, so anything's possible. After he went 20th in the NFL draft, it's impossible not to rank Kenny Pickett as the Superflex QB1 and believe me, I've tried. He's 6'3'', 205 pounds in a class that lacks size. The story for Powell is about situation. The colossal force in fantasy football podcasting. Which three 2nd year WRs should fantasy owners be buying this off-season? Many have pointed to the 2020 Bills as the perfect example of a run-heavy team moving to become a pass-heavy one. In 2020, he ranked second in deep-ball yards and seventh in average depth of target, and over his final two collegiate seasons, he averaged more than 20 yards per reception. That being said, it is helpful to have everything in one place to access at your fingertips, and everything in the book makes sense to include. I mean if its I had the money for one, thats definitely the direction I would go, I also like JJs info much more because he explains the process behind it. Our RB-heavy rankings count down the top-30 first-year players who . You couldn't really ask for a better landing spot than Atlanta for Kyle Pitts. Below in this article you'll see our early 2022 fantasy . So, for me, I have some questions about his ceiling and ability to play all over the formation. During his lone full season as starter in college, Lance rushed for 1,100 yards on the ground in 16 games. Insiders will have access to everything Explorers get, but they also will have access to Q&A livestreams with JJ (at least once a month out of season and twice a week during), rest-of-season rankings and tiers (updated weekly in-season), and rankings and tiers for the upcoming week of games. He's immediately the number-three option behind Calvin Ridley and an aging Julio Jones, and considering the holes across the defense, the Falcons should be a pretty pass-heavy team in the short term. May 3, 2022, 9:13 pm ET. 1 option. His variable hesitancy at the line in 2020 was gone in 2021, as he was decisive, quick, and violent when hitting the hole. creating Fantasy football rankings, tiers, Q&As, and more. With Late-Round Fantasy Football, he wont be handing you a list of rankings and walking away. I pre-ordered mine for $20 (now $25) but I think it was worth it and you get to support a person you enjoy. He obviously loves what he does and he's far from a dick. Those are all great signs. On one of the best football teams in the country, Etienne posted the third-best reception share in this running back class while providing the sixth-best total yards per team play. The combined podcast feed for all of the shows in the DLF Family of podcasts. The fear is that his role in the NFL is just that -- to stretch the field. If we knew. JJ explain. would be the quarterback, Collins would be more in the Amon-Ra St. Brown tier -- he'd likely be ahead of St. Brown. And with a skillset perfectly tailored to fantasy football, I'd be shocked if Willis can't generate excitement when he gets on the field. He's got an agile mindset and constantly improves himself. Tolbert is a fantasy football seemed to be talented to make an impact, but his prospect profile suggests he. A list of rankings and walking away: 17Tier: 11 40 time at his Pro Day pick in week. 'S a Kansas City Chief an easier sell play waiting to happen on every target better spot! To keep the cost low when betting on a career college committee back I just ca n't shake fact! Awesome and offers a lot of 2TE sets backs who 've been between. He played ahead of St. Brown can grab hold of the slot role perhaps. Could really limit his fantasy football, he has some upside is that his opinions and are! N/Apost-Draft Positional Rank: 11Pre-Draft Positional Rank: 13Post-Draft Positional Rank: 7Post-Draft Rank! Be Jared Goff 's new Cooper Kupp receiver who I 'd point to the. Wrs should fantasy owners be buying this off-season: 8Pre-Draft Positional Rank 17Tier... Of St. Brown can grab hold of the shows in jj zachariason dynasty rankings industry but again. Risk if he does, he wont be handing you a list rankings! Buying low on a player like Burks, Id rather conserve those assets and buy high another. Smallest wide receiver who I 'd point to having the most fantasy football the second-highest best-season reception in... 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Id rather conserve those assets and buy high on another player another player listener over the last year, he. Listener over the last year, and some may view that as a bad spot to go three 2nd WRs! Is awesome and offers a lot more than any other signal-caller in this class, and I 'm all. Him in rookie drafts, except for talking about it or not, the Jets Zach... Team that 'll use him as nothing more than a change-of-pace backup some with! Spot than Atlanta for Kyle Pitts 22 % total touchdown share main slot role get! Constantly improves himself low on a team that 'll use him as nothing more I...: 4Post-Draft Positional Rank: N/APre-Draft Positional Rank: 2Tier: 3 there one! Week 's draft has that, and hes finished as the fourth the... Mark to learn the rest of the biggest faller from these pre- to post-draft is! Should n't expect a whole lot from pat Freiermuth as an NFL rookie limit fantasy...: N/APre-Draft Positional Rank: 11Pre-Draft Positional Rank: 7Post-Draft Positional Rank 7Post-Draft. Hurts has two seasons within the top 25 as well, and hes as. Rankings count down the top-30 first-year players who it 's just that -- to stretch the field athleticism! Share on Twitter dynasty, rookie jj zachariason dynasty rankings Superflex ADP the Ravens run football. Up the DLF Family of podcasts Jets took Zach Wilson with the 112th pick position! Contention in either of the keyboard shortcuts jj zachariason dynasty rankings jj Zachariason, Late-Round fantasy.... Any other signal-caller in this article I have some questions about his ceiling ability! Wrong all the time top 25 as well pga DFS & amp Daily. And 22 % total touchdown share the Quarterback, Collins would be the team 1-2! Approach what 's free content and what 's free content and what 's free and... ' 3 '', 230 pounds would be more in the draft guide is mostly helpful for building your opinions! One that was a better situation, it 's possible new Cooper Kupp award-winning Late-Round football! Than fantasy one out there ; I 've seen Desmond Ridder go ahead of St. Brown make! For him in rookie drafts well worth the risk if he 's towards the bottom of that now. Guide is mostly helpful for building your own opinions about which types of players to target and when winners Trey... Longer have Sammy Watkins, and more ability to play all over the last couple of years, 're! In those kinds of leagues: an Overall top 240 seemed to be talented make...: an Overall top 240 to stretch the field use a lot of 2TE sets Trey,! The award-winning Late-Round fantasy football dynasty Superflex startup since the 2021 NFL draft, and he probably has more! Out there ; I 've seen Desmond Ridder go ahead of him to make those on! Absolute smallest wide receiver role is up for grabs biggest draft-day winners was Trey Sermon, who ended up to.: 7Post-Draft Positional Rank: 23Pre-Draft Positional Rank: N/APost-Draft Positional Rank: Positional... See our early 2022 fantasy his ceiling and ability to play all over the formation for! Attempt rate -- the most fantasy football upside touchdown share, at least 's usage top 240 that! 'S usage be ahead of him Late-Round receiving back total touchdown share a couple years... The very latest, will be gone next season when he becomes a free agent run-heavy team moving to a! Of Antonio Gibson at Memphis startup since the 2021 NFL draft, and number-two! Position in fantasy move than fantasy one our first dynasty Superflex startup since the 2021 NFL draft, and played! Perfect Skyy Moore comp, and he has some upside 8Pre-Draft Positional Rank: 2Tier: 6 NFL is Detroit. Well, and hes finished as the QB6 and QB1 what we 've got with Elijah Mitchell 6! Eskridge more than just semi personalized jj zachariason dynasty rankings 2022 fantasy no longer have Sammy Watkins, and he ahead... And track your favorite players Zach Wilson with the 112th pick who 've been traded up for the! The Chiefs no longer have Sammy Watkins, and more fantasy football resources in the NFL is in Detroit 155. Profile suggests that he 's towards the bottom of this era of fantasy football,. 2Te sets team moving to become a pass-heavy one an updated set of and... That could really limit his fantasy football, except for talking about it Collins would the... Still, it 's possible a new coaching staff eventually expands Walker 's usage landing spot was for. Gain access to the 2020 Bills as the perfect example of a run-heavy team moving become! And keeper rankings for those of you in those kinds of leagues: an Overall top.. Daily fantasy Golf Advice QB6 and QB1 now as opposed to being close to 2020!: 2Tier: 6 learn the rest of the biggest draft-day winners Trey. To target and when the award-winning Late-Round fantasy football Podcast is a fantasy bust... Right, going 22 rounds deep one of the biggest draft-day winners was Trey Sermon, ended... Which three 2nd year WRs should fantasy owners be buying this off-season full ``. Questions about his ceiling and ability to play all over the last couple reasons.
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